During a breakfast at the Capitol Hill Club in which the House Majority Caucus spent a half hour strategized about fundraising procedures to restore recently cut benefits for military veterans with the debt ceiling vote, it became clear to House Speaker Rep. John Boehner (R-OH 8th) that he would not have the votes to pass the Leadership's initial debt ceiling deal with just GOP votes.
So instead of linking the military cuts with the debt ceiling, Speaker Boehner opted to put forth a clean debt ceiling through 2015 for a vote. To avoid adding to the deficit, this plan pretends to apply cuts in the eleventh year of a ten year budget, which is fictitious, as the cuts will never happen and prior Congresses can not bind future Congresses.
In order for a clean debt ceiling to be voted upon, the House Majority violated the informal "Hastert Rule" where legislation needed to get a majority of the majority's vote. In the 221-201 clean debt ceiling vote, it seemed that most of the Republican votes came from House Leadership
[***}
It seems that the Cocktail Party was keen on keeping power quietly and threw in with the Democrats.
While the House's clean debt ceiling vote may be characterized as a rare instance of bipartisanship by the Lamestream Media, the move was not well received among conservative activists and veterans.
The House's clean debt ceiling vote was characterized as "complete capitulation" by
Tea Party Patriots co-founder Jenny Beth Martin. Moreover, failing to fix the military retirees cut was a call to arms by Hugh Hewitt and other veterans supporters.
So before the House adjourned for the Washington's Birthday recess (often mistakenly referred to as President's Day), House Leadership scrambled to vote on a Veterans' COLA fix.
[***]
Then the House went into recess for ten days, which meant that the Senate would either approve their versions of the clean debt ceiling and veterans' COLA or Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) would have to explain why he let the US "default" and why he wants veterans to suffer.
However, there may not be a quick and quiet way to placate the politicos. According to Mark Levin, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) was willing to pass a clean debt ceiling on a simple majority vote. such a process would allow for Congressional kabuki theater. The Senate has 55 Democrat votes (Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont runs as a Socialist-Independent) but several of them have tough re-election campaigns in Republican leaning states. So a majority vote allows a few of them to feign being fiscal hawks and the bill passes 51-49.
Once again, Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) will not countenance the Congressional two step.
[***]
Essentially, Sen. Cruz is threatening to filibuster the debt ceiling.
This gets complicated. A significant snowstorm is threatening to hit Washington Wednesday evening, which could ground Senators from doing their "In District Work Sessions". But if changes are made to the Clean Debt Ceiling bill, the House is on recess so the alleged debt ceiling deadline would be missed and supposedly the US would go into default. While this may be as fictitious as the monument closures during the government shutdown, it would give the financial markets jitters and look quite bad in an election year.
The pressure will be placed on Senator Cruz not to require a Cloture vote. Aside from his principles, Senator Cruz may be motivated to stand tall for a prospective 2016 Presidential run. But if a filibuster is engaged, expect the junior Senator from Texas to be villified by the press and partisans for holding up progress just as
Cruz was in September 2013 over Obamacare fixes quasi filibuster.
[***]
It is lamentable that many of the problems in Washington have a causal nexus with the go-along-to-get-alone attitudes of elites in the Cocktail Party. Problems are rarely really addressed aside from short burst of rhetoric for the supposed rubes. So insisting that real cuts are made instead of the fiction of future cuts which will never happen will be the cause celebre of the Left and the Cocktail Party.
No wonder conservatives are fighting for new leadership.
